What Separates Winners from the Pack?

by Marcelo Salup

3 customer analytics well worth doing right now- part 2
  In part one of this three part series we outlined three primary tactics to grow you small business Response Modeling, Customer Lifetime Value modeling and Segmentation as follows: 1. Response Modeling- this addresses a product offer – 37% more of the leaders use it. The advantages of a correctly developed response model are enormous. By zeroing in on just those consumers most likely to respond to a product offer, the marketer is able to specifically craft the mailing to each consumer. 2. Customer Lifetime Value modeling, which is customer retention–   35% more than non-leaders Customer lifetime value is a critical metric for any business. Those that are able to measure and maximize the lifetime value of their customers have a distinct competitive advantage over those who do not. 3. Segmentation – understanding the strata of your customer and needs – 33% advantage The process of defining and subdividing a large homogenous market into clearly identifiable segments having similar needs, wants, or demand characteristics. Its objective is to design a marketing mix that precisely matches the expectations of customers in the targeted segment.  
Per part one Response modeling: tracking tactic results and identify cost data to whatever returns the most for the least amount of resources.
 Now here’s a more in depth view of  Lifetime Value Analysis… Lifetime Value Analysis What information will you need:  
    • Historical sales data by customer
 
    • Historical acquisition costs (Optional)
  Building the model  
    • Using captured archival data to historically and determine by client the revenue per month to determine the monthly financial value of each customer
 
    • Log the activity over the the total number of months for each customer
  A simplified mode As an example suppose  company called 800Razor, which sells disposable razors directly over the web. Perhaps you have a customer model that looks like this: Some customers will buy the cheapest offer, some other ones will buy more products (e.g., male and female razors).    
    • Bottom end: 24% of customers = 14% of the revenues
 
    • Middle 56% = 56% of the revenues
 
    • Top end: 20% of customers = 29% of revenues
  The four ways to grow this business:    
    • The lifetime value of the average customer is $171.
 
    • The average acquisition allowable is between 20% to 25% of sales.
 
    • Taking the low end, 20% of the $171 average is $34.
 
    • Four ways to grow this business:
        • Get more customers à Can we lower the cost?
       
        • Get the existing ones to buy more expensive razors (upgrade) àGive them an incentive or trial offer
       
        • Get the existing ones to last longer à Give them an incentive to stay
       
        • Get the existing ones to refer new customers à Reward referrals
  A quick decision grid  
  Number of Customers   Lifetime Value of Customer   How many months will he last?   Maximum Acquisition Cost   Action
          3,000  $          68                    8  $              14 Create a retention program to extend the “life” from 8 to 12 months generating an additional $34 in revenues. Allowable: $6.80
          9,000  $         114                   12  $              23 Increasing from 12 to 15 months will only generate $28.50 per person. Increasing from $9.50 to $11.00 generates only $18 per person.
        16,000  $         132                   12  $              26 Increasing from 12 to 15 months will generate $33 additionally per person; allowable is $6.60
        12,000  $         225                   18  $              45 Increasing the average monthly sale from $12.50 to $15 will generate $45 incremental per person; allowable is $9.00
          8,000  $         255                   15  $              51 Increasing from 15 to 18 months will generate $51 additional per person; allowable $10.20
          2,000  $         228                   12  $              46 Increasing from 12 to 15 months would generate an additional $57 per person; allowable $11.40
     50,000  $      171    $          34
The same logic can be applied to creating referral programs. As with all these programs, it is important to test, evaluate and refine, which we addressed in the previous column.